The comparison, without a conclusion
Groups run left to right from most state control released to least. That ordering is an axis, not a ranking. Select any cell to open the full reading.
Where each sub-model departs from its group
A sub-model inherits its group's thirteen readings. Listed here is only what changes — the specific mechanism, where it has been used, and the one economic and one social respect in which it differs. Full entries sit in the Model Catalogue.
| Code | Sub-model | Implemented in | Economic departure | Social departure |
|---|
What the matrix is, and what it is not
1 · Cells describe. They do not rate
No cell contains a value on a scale. Each states what the group actually does on that criterion, in the group's own terms. Two cells in the same row are not two positions on a line — they are two different things.
| Criterion | What a rating would say | What the cell says instead |
|---|---|---|
| EC7 · Capital mobilised | High / Medium / Low | Recorded at tender · Working capital, not development · None, capital is public |
| SC1 · Citizen participation | Strong / Weak | Entry by enrolment, not capital · Only where a tier is reserved · As employee, not landholder |
The second form cannot be summed. That is the point of it.
2 · Column order is an axis, not a ranking
Groups run from most state control released to least, because that is the dimension along which the mechanisms genuinely differ. Position carries no judgement. Reversing the order would change nothing about the readings.
3 · Implementation is stated, never implied
Each column header names the countries where that group's models have been implemented. Group M3 carries none — partnership structures are set out because they are available instruments, not because a programme has been found operating them on agricultural land. A reader should treat that column as a set of options to test, not as a record to rely on.
| Group | Implemented in | What that means when reading the column |
|---|---|---|
| M1 · Ownership transfer | Saudi Arabia · Egypt | Outcomes recorded, including where they went wrong |
| M2 · Tenure without transfer | Morocco · Israel · Australia | The most widely implemented group in the catalogue |
| M3 · Partnership | No known implementation | Structures only. Every reading follows from the mechanism, not from a result |
| M4 · Aggregation | Nigeria · Malaysia | Two long-running programmes, both with documented difficulties |
| M5 · Public operation | Morocco · Egypt · Saudi Arabia | Includes a case of transition out of the model |
4 · Eleven rows are in tension with another row
Improving one of these readings reliably degrades another. The overlay marks them. Reading a single row in isolation and selecting on it is the specific failure this matrix is built to prevent.
| Tension | Rows involved | What it means when reading across |
|---|---|---|
| T1 | EC7 · SC3 | The column strongest on capital is among the weakest on equity of access |
| T2 | EC2 · SC1 | Scale and participation compete for the same area |
| T3 | EC6 · water conditions | Long terms serve perennial investment and conflict with a finite supply horizon |
| T4 | EC1 · EC3 · water conditions | The largest uncovered import volume is the crop water argues hardest against |
| T5 | EC5 · SC5 | Reliability comes from operators who need no capability building |
| T6 | EC7 · SC2 | Capital intensity and employment density move in opposite directions |
| T7 | SC4 · EC7 | Holdings that cannot consolidate are holdings that cannot be pledged |
The trade-offs, held open
A scored matrix would answer the question. This one presents it — sixty-five readings, each with its evidence status, arranged so the conflicts between them stay visible rather than being resolved by an unstated weighting.
The Ministry weighs these. This application does not.